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SOGa+ College Football Rankings & Picks - Week 7

Posted on 10/9/23 at 11:26 am
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
103415 posts
Posted on 10/9/23 at 11:26 am
Had a faulty valve in the formulas last week that was underrepresenting pts per drive on offense in the offense formula, which is kind of an important feature. Maybe if WBT Sportz would give us more funding we'd have better interns to fix that sort of shoddy human error.

Regardless, fixed now.












This post was edited on 10/13/23 at 2:42 pm
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
103415 posts
Posted on 10/9/23 at 11:40 am to
- Think A&M is slightly overvalued because of stats with Weigman. Don't think their offense is nearly as effective or efficient with Max. Should be a really interesting game in Knoxville this weekend.

- Think Auburn will score some against LSU, but not 30. Maybe more like 24.

- Washington/Oregon is going to be wild

- What is Notre Dame/USC going to look like? I have no idea.
This post was edited on 10/9/23 at 11:43 am
Posted by BigBro
Member since Jul 2021
13266 posts
Posted on 10/9/23 at 12:00 pm to
How’d you like my Arizona and Fresno picks?

Good job my man.. always been a fan of these rankings and your analysis.

Like the FPI, it analyzes what is happening on the field, and not necessarily the end result.. correct?

I think the list looks pretty good. Idk anything about Air Force though.. that was a surprise.

A&M has a really good team for example.. they just haven’t figured it out yet. They are going to really good next year imo. (not a joke)
This post was edited on 10/9/23 at 12:07 pm
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
103415 posts
Posted on 10/9/23 at 12:01 pm to
quote:

How’d you like my Arizona and Fresno picks?


You were dead on about Wyoming - they are legit. That Wyoming/Air Force game should be a good one this weekend.

And yea, feels like everyone was on that Arizona one. The whole USC thing has to be close to melting down. Don't think it'll be this weekend (though they might lose), but Washington and Oregon back to back in early November? Yikes.
This post was edited on 10/9/23 at 12:02 pm
Posted by Jrv2damac
Kanorado
Member since Mar 2004
68581 posts
Posted on 10/9/23 at 12:06 pm to
Damn you

Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
103415 posts
Posted on 10/9/23 at 12:08 pm to
quote:

Damn you


Looks to me like Kansas is the #1 program in the Big XII moving forward per the metrics. Kansas vs Arizona is the new marquee conference matchup for both basketball and football.
This post was edited on 10/9/23 at 12:10 pm
Posted by BigBro
Member since Jul 2021
13266 posts
Posted on 10/9/23 at 12:09 pm to
quote:

Washington and Oregon back to back in early November? Yikes.

No doubt that’s gonna be rough. CW had an off night and still had like 4 touchdowns combined? Dude is good.

Can’t wait for this weekend’s Oregon @ Udub matchup. I’m going with the home team because I think both are pretty damn good.
Posted by Sun God
Member since Jul 2009
45511 posts
Posted on 10/9/23 at 12:10 pm to
quote:

Had a faulty valve in the formulas last week


Jesus get it together SoG

Braves in 5
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
103415 posts
Posted on 10/9/23 at 12:11 pm to
quote:

Braves in 5


Going tonight. Prepared to be angry and sad.
Posted by Comancheria
Guntersville, AL
Member since May 2023
740 posts
Posted on 10/9/23 at 12:13 pm to
quote:

That Wyoming/Air Force game should be a good one this weekend.


My dad played at Air Force so I watch their games quite a bit. They're following up an impressive last season with an even better one this year, that should be a good one for sure.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
103415 posts
Posted on 10/9/23 at 12:14 pm to
quote:

They're following up an impressive last season with an even better one this year, that should be a good one for sure.


Their unadjusted numbers (no schedule strength adj) are off the charts. They've been almost perfect in terms of efficiency on offense.

- 4.3 Pt per drive
- 1st down on 83% of possessions
- #1 nationally in "value" drive rate

And their defense has been solid, too. Somebody is going to sleep walk against them in a NY6 game and get thrashed.
This post was edited on 10/9/23 at 12:15 pm
Posted by Sun God
Member since Jul 2009
45511 posts
Posted on 10/9/23 at 12:17 pm to
quote:

Prepared to be angry and sad.


You’d love LSU this year
Posted by Che Boludo
Member since May 2009
19728 posts
Posted on 10/9/23 at 12:18 pm to
quote:

Maybe if WBT Sportz would give us more funding we'd have better interns to fix that sort of shoddy human error

Where are all of our premium subscription monies going, cooperate greed?
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
103415 posts
Posted on 10/9/23 at 12:19 pm to
quote:

Where are all of our premium subscription monies going, cooperate greed?



We the people ask for answers and the CEO is nowhere to be found.
Posted by BigBro
Member since Jul 2021
13266 posts
Posted on 10/9/23 at 12:19 pm to
Playoffs gonna be..

1. Michigan / Ohio State / Penn State
2. Georgia / Alabama
3. Oregon / Washington
4. Oklahoma / Texas
5. FSU / UNC / Louisville

Undefeated > 1 loss teams

We could have nine 12-1 teams.. not gonna happen, but that’s a crazy thought and shows the parity this year at the top.

1. B1G - if Michigan, PSU and OSU split
2. SEC - if 11–1 Alabama beats 12-0 Georgia
3. B12 - if 11-1 Texas beats 12-0 Oklahoma
4. PAC - If 11-1 Oregon beats 12-0 UDub
5. ACC - idk about this one yet but it is possible

1-2 teams probably come out 13-0.. somewhere in the middle. It’s been a great season this far. it’s a shame the 12 team playoff didn’t start this year.
Posted by Che Boludo
Member since May 2009
19728 posts
Posted on 10/9/23 at 12:34 pm to
I'd love to see Indiana score only 4 pts. And, then, I'd encourage you to burn your algorithm, as it would be nothing but witchcraft
Posted by MetryMauler
Member since Sep 2016
7132 posts
Posted on 10/9/23 at 12:38 pm to
quote:

- Think Auburn will score some against LSU, but not 30. Maybe more like 24.


Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
103415 posts
Posted on 10/9/23 at 12:38 pm to
quote:

I'd love to see Indiana score only 4 pts. And, then, I'd encourage you to burn your algorithm, as it would be nothing but witchcraft



Indiana gonna kick a FG and safety on a Michigan XP attempt.
Posted by skrayper
21-0 Asterisk Drive
Member since Nov 2012
31878 posts
Posted on 10/9/23 at 1:39 pm to
I believe Utah is the only team with a bigger difference between offensive and defensive rankings than LSU (and the only two that are over 100 spots between the two).
Posted by paperwasp
11x HRV tRant Poster of the Week
Member since Sep 2014
25161 posts
Posted on 10/9/23 at 1:55 pm to
If we wholesale exchanged and put LSU's offense with Alabama's defense, that team would wreck some shite.

The other guys (Alabama's offense and LSU's defense) might not win a game the rest of the year.
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