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SOGa+ 2023 College Football Projections

Posted on 8/7/23 at 2:59 pm
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
104213 posts
Posted on 8/7/23 at 2:59 pm
Yay















Posted by BobLeeDagger
In Your Head
Member since May 2016
7041 posts
Posted on 8/7/23 at 3:00 pm to
Link the datasets
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
104213 posts
Posted on 8/7/23 at 3:01 pm to
This ain't a damn peer review.
Posted by BobLeeDagger
In Your Head
Member since May 2016
7041 posts
Posted on 8/7/23 at 3:02 pm to
Just curious
Posted by SECdragonmaster
Order of the Dragons
Member since Dec 2013
16899 posts
Posted on 8/7/23 at 3:04 pm to



Is Auburn gonna win 8 games or what???
Posted by diddlydawg7
2x Best Poster Elite 8 (2x Sweet 16
Member since Oct 2017
28995 posts
Posted on 8/7/23 at 3:04 pm to
Bookmarked

If any of these are wrong I will be embarrassing you publicly
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
104213 posts
Posted on 8/7/23 at 3:05 pm to


Returning Production is from collegefootballdata for offense, ESPN for defense. Recruiting/Transfer is 4 year average by side of the ball from collegefootballdata + transfers in this year (who got a 10% bump on their "star" rating for being experienced). PY performance is F+ from the prior year.

I think that was all of it. Broken out 62.5% prior year, 20% returning production, 17.5% recruiting.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
104213 posts
Posted on 8/7/23 at 3:05 pm to
quote:

Bookmarked

If any of these are wrong I will be embarrassing you publicly


Willy would never
Posted by DawgsLife
Ellijay, Ga.
Member since Jun 2013
60598 posts
Posted on 8/7/23 at 3:06 pm to
How long does it take for you to compile all of this? It's very impressive, and probably a whole lot closer to reality than the services put out.

Thanks for your time and efforts.
Posted by rockiee
Sugar Land, TX
Member since Jan 2015
28540 posts
Posted on 8/7/23 at 3:07 pm to
Absolutely terrible projections and data

Why? Because it has my team too low
Posted by SECdragonmaster
Order of the Dragons
Member since Dec 2013
16899 posts
Posted on 8/7/23 at 3:07 pm to
quote:

If any of these are wrong I will be embarrassing you publicly


Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
104213 posts
Posted on 8/7/23 at 3:08 pm to
quote:

How long does it take for you to compile all of this? It's very impressive, and probably a whole lot closer to reality than the services put out.

Thanks for your time and efforts.


Not too long - just download some stuff and splice it together. It's not some super secret or anything but I do think it generally gives a decent idea of some teams that may be overthought of or underthought of. And it's sure as hell better than media narratives.
Posted by diddlydawg7
2x Best Poster Elite 8 (2x Sweet 16
Member since Oct 2017
28995 posts
Posted on 8/7/23 at 3:08 pm to
quote:

It's very impressive, and probably a whole lot closer to reality than the services put out.


I’ve been tweeting at that coward Bill Connelly for years to get on the Rant and go head to head with George
Posted by ColoradoAg
Colorado
Member since Sep 2011
24695 posts
Posted on 8/7/23 at 3:08 pm to
I'm not seeing anything?
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
104213 posts
Posted on 8/7/23 at 3:09 pm to
quote:

Absolutely terrible projections and data

Why? Because it has my team too low


The metrics cannot take into account the desire to win so that you can drink a Hamm's Beer post-game. Fatal flaw IMHO.
Posted by CBandits82
Lurker since May 2008
Member since May 2012
56368 posts
Posted on 8/7/23 at 3:09 pm to
looks good
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
104213 posts
Posted on 8/7/23 at 3:09 pm to
quote:

I’ve been tweeting at that coward Bill Connelly for years to get on the Rant and go head to head with George



He's too busy crying about people being mean to the women's soccer team for embarrassing themselves.
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
26000 posts
Posted on 8/7/23 at 3:10 pm to
Tennessee's defense is surprising.

You do know that Willie Martinez is still their DB coach?
Posted by BlindedMeWithScience
Member since Jun 2023
2307 posts
Posted on 8/7/23 at 3:11 pm to
Nice work. I'll believe another top 10 finish for Tennessee when I see it. A schedule with road games against Florida and Alabama is our kryptonite.
Posted by rockiee
Sugar Land, TX
Member since Jan 2015
28540 posts
Posted on 8/7/23 at 3:16 pm to
quote:

The metrics cannot take into account the desire to win so that you can drink a Hamm's Beer post-game. Fatal flaw IMHO.





I need you to turn that Jukebox metric up to 10
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