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mred's 2024 SEC FB Standings Tiebreaker Tool
Posted on 11/15/24 at 11:31 am
Posted on 11/15/24 at 11:31 am
I am going to park this here since some people are still asking questions about how the SEC race will shake out. This is not about who will make the CFB playoffs...this is about who will play in the SEC Championship Game in Atlanta.
mred's 2024 SEC FB Standings Tiebreaker Tool
You can play around with who you think will win the remaining SEC games and see what the final standings will be.
mred's 2024 SEC FB Standings Tiebreaker Tool
You can play around with who you think will win the remaining SEC games and see what the final standings will be.
This post was edited on 11/16/24 at 10:45 pm
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Posted on 11/15/24 at 11:41 am to Chicken
For a team like LSU, making it could be a huge deal because you can win and make the playoffs no matter what. As they aren't likely to get in as an at large bid with 3 losses.
For some other teams, making the SECCG might not be so great as you'll likely get an easier opponent in the 1st round.
And an LSU win in the SECCG would also potentially knock a team that would make it as an at large otherwise. Likely the loser of the SECCG this year since that will likely be their 3rd loss. Which means, such a team really doesn't want to make it to the SECCG.
Unlikely that happens, but it highlights how much the new playoff format is really screwing up the SECCG. And really, just that playing more difficult schedules is no longer the benefit it was previously.
For some other teams, making the SECCG might not be so great as you'll likely get an easier opponent in the 1st round.
And an LSU win in the SECCG would also potentially knock a team that would make it as an at large otherwise. Likely the loser of the SECCG this year since that will likely be their 3rd loss. Which means, such a team really doesn't want to make it to the SECCG.
Unlikely that happens, but it highlights how much the new playoff format is really screwing up the SECCG. And really, just that playing more difficult schedules is no longer the benefit it was previously.
This post was edited on 11/15/24 at 11:42 am
Posted on 11/15/24 at 11:48 am to Chicken
That’s a good sticky.
Posted on 11/15/24 at 12:13 pm to 3down10
quote:LSU could be left out even if we win the SECCG:
For a team like LSU, making it could be a huge deal because you can win and make the playoffs no matter what. As they aren't likely to get in as an at large bid with 3 losses.
quote:
The four highest-ranked conference champions will be seeded one through four and will receive a first-round bye. The fifth conference champion will be seeded where it was ranked or at No. 12 if it is outside the top 12 rankings. Non-conference champions ranked in the top four will be seeded beginning at No. 5. Because of this, the seeding, 1 through 12, could look different than the final rankings.
Boise State is in a good position to be ranked higher than LSU...as is Army...assuming they win out.
Posted on 11/15/24 at 12:16 pm to Chicken
quote:
LSU could be left out even if we win the SECCG:
I thought you get AQ status and an automatic bye if you win?
Posted on 11/15/24 at 12:16 pm to Chicken
quote:
LSU could be left out even if we win the SECCG:
If LSU wins the SECCG, they get an automatic bid. Don't they?
Posted on 11/15/24 at 12:18 pm to FootballFrenzy
There is nothing in the CFB Playoff Format explanation that gives an automatic bye to Power 4 conference winner:
LINK
LINK
quote:
The 12 participating teams will be the five conference champions ranked highest by the CFP selection committee, plus the next seven highest-ranked teams.
This post was edited on 11/15/24 at 12:19 pm
Posted on 11/15/24 at 12:20 pm to Chicken
But I thought you were talking about getting in the playoffs. I didn't mention anything about a bye. Sorry, must've misread your OP.
Posted on 11/15/24 at 12:23 pm to FootballFrenzy
you are right...they wouldn't get a automatic bye, but would likely get in, assuming both Boise State and Army don't somehow end up ranked higher than LSU.
It's all a long shot anyway for LSU...
It's all a long shot anyway for LSU...
This post was edited on 11/15/24 at 12:39 pm
Posted on 11/15/24 at 12:57 pm to Chicken
Is this from the Reddit person?
Posted on 11/15/24 at 12:58 pm to Chicken
Impossible scenario for UGA to be at the top 
Posted on 11/15/24 at 1:01 pm to Chicken
Hell, for all we know, someone in the head office is going to use this tool to break the ties.
Posted on 11/15/24 at 4:09 pm to Chicken
The PAC 12 leader is a few spots in front of LSU right now. Boise State and the PAC 12 Champion could screw LSU out of the playoff possibly if LSU was a 3 loss SEC champion.
This post was edited on 11/15/24 at 4:10 pm
Posted on 11/15/24 at 4:55 pm to Chicken
Good shot, Chicken, thanks!!!
Posted on 11/15/24 at 5:30 pm to Chicken
A&M could lose to Texas and still rematch in Atlanta but they will need Georgia to win tomorrow and Alabama to drop one of Oklahoma or Auburn (not fricking likely)
LSU's easiest path in is A&M beating Texas and Georgia beating Tennessee because of the 6 team logjam of 6-2 teams it falls to conference opponent win percentage and you eek out the win over Alabama despite getting destroyed by them at home.
If Texas or Tennessee lose again they are out....
LSU's easiest path in is A&M beating Texas and Georgia beating Tennessee because of the 6 team logjam of 6-2 teams it falls to conference opponent win percentage and you eek out the win over Alabama despite getting destroyed by them at home.
If Texas or Tennessee lose again they are out....
Posted on 11/15/24 at 6:20 pm to Gator Fever
Not sure of the Pac-12 really counts as a conference this year...I assume they are being treated as independents this year...
Posted on 11/15/24 at 6:40 pm to Chicken
Wash State and Oregon State are still in the PAC 12 and it's still considered a conference this year for playoff purposes. The best 5 conferences was put in place thinking it took care of the issue of it still being a conference this season.
Posted on 11/15/24 at 6:40 pm to Chicken
quote:Not sure why this post is getting downvotes- it's technically true, even if you don't like it.
LSU could be left out even if we win the SECCG:
If LSU wins the SEC Championship, there's at least a chance we're the 5th champ (and thus no bye), behind Boise.
And if Army goes undefeated (with a win over Notre Dame in that mix), there will be pressure to include them in the playoffs. You're an absolute nut if you don't think that's the case.
Personally, I think Army might jump Boise in that scenario, and worst-case they would keep LSU (3 loss SEC Champ) and drop one of the 2 loss teams that didn't make Atlanta. Maybe Ole Miss, since LSU beat them.
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