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Tell me why Bama is favored over Clemson

Posted on 12/5/17 at 12:03 pm
Posted by prisonpunk
Member since Dec 2013
1598 posts
Posted on 12/5/17 at 12:03 pm
To me, Clemson is obviously the better team. But I've been gambling college football for years and most of the time when I think the point spread is crazy, the bookies are right and I am wrong. Tell me why Bama is favored.
Posted by ipodking
#StopTalkingAboutWomensSports
Member since Jun 2008
57176 posts
Posted on 12/5/17 at 12:03 pm to
Clemson's dline is going to tear Bama's oline up. If they couldn't handle Auburn's dline they sure as hell won't handle Clemson's
This post was edited on 12/5/17 at 12:04 pm
Posted by Ted2010
Member since Oct 2010
38958 posts
Posted on 12/5/17 at 12:04 pm to
I never put any stock into betting lines. At all.
Posted by TT9
Global warming
Member since Sep 2008
83483 posts
Posted on 12/5/17 at 12:04 pm to
I agree, unfortunately.
Posted by FourThreeForty
Member since May 2013
17290 posts
Posted on 12/5/17 at 12:05 pm to
It’s a betting line you idiot. Strictly meant to entice people to load up on the other side.
Posted by labamafan
Prairieville
Member since Jan 2007
25428 posts
Posted on 12/5/17 at 12:06 pm to
We're aware of that. Lines are for betting period.
Posted by CAbamafan
Member since Dec 2017
1167 posts
Posted on 12/5/17 at 12:06 pm to
Vegas heard Tua will be playing
Posted by FredBear
Georgia
Member since Aug 2017
15609 posts
Posted on 12/5/17 at 12:10 pm to
The other factor to consider is we won't know what the smart money gamblers think until just before the game.
Posted by ClemsonRules
Virginia
Member since Jan 2017
2608 posts
Posted on 12/5/17 at 12:11 pm to
The bookies don’t set points on who they think is the better team. They set points to ensure they get as close to 50-50 action on either team. They make guaranteed money on the 10% transaction fees etc.

You’d be amazed how many people bet on Bama because of their name recognition. Most times it works because Bama delivers. Not so sure this time against Clemson.
Posted by McGregor
Member since Feb 2011
6388 posts
Posted on 12/5/17 at 12:11 pm to
quote:

I never put any stock into betting lines. At all.


Good call. On championship sat, they got 3 of them exactly right.
This post was edited on 12/5/17 at 12:13 pm
Posted by StopRobot
Mobile, AL
Member since May 2013
15659 posts
Posted on 12/5/17 at 12:13 pm to
quote:

To me, Clemson is obviously the better team. But I've been gambling college football for years and most of the time when I think the point spread is crazy, the bookies are right and I am wrong. Tell me why Bama is favored.


Just hope we can keep it close and not get embarrassed. I suggest you put the mortgage on the game
Posted by BamaWins15
Member since Sep 2015
4612 posts
Posted on 12/5/17 at 12:15 pm to
if i was a betting person i would take the deal...easy money.
Posted by Evolved Simian
Bushwood Country Club
Member since Sep 2010
21351 posts
Posted on 12/5/17 at 12:25 pm to
quote:

But I've been gambling college football for years and most of the time when I think the point spread is crazy, the bookies are right and I am wrong.


Truth. I would have made Clemson at least a 3.5 point favorite. Maybe more.

My personal experience from betting on football for 25 years is that, if a line looks too good to be true, it almost always is too good to be true.
This post was edited on 12/5/17 at 12:26 pm
Posted by TidalSurge1
Ft Walton Beach
Member since Sep 2016
36467 posts
Posted on 12/5/17 at 12:25 pm to
I know Vegas wants an even money split. Given Bama's late season issues, I expected Clemson to be favored by a little.

Maybe Vegas thinks injured players returning, offensive scheme adjustments, eliminating costly mental errors vs AU, etc. will correct Bama's recent performance issues.

I sure hope those things happen. They need to.
This post was edited on 12/5/17 at 1:43 pm
Posted by Vecchio Cane
Ivory Tower
Member since Jul 2016
17918 posts
Posted on 12/5/17 at 12:26 pm to
More Bama fans bet on ballgames?
Posted by Ted2010
Member since Oct 2010
38958 posts
Posted on 12/5/17 at 12:38 pm to
You totally don't understand what I meant.
Posted by artompkins
Orange Beach, Al
Member since May 2010
5934 posts
Posted on 12/5/17 at 1:04 pm to
Clemson isn't a great running team and Kelly is an average passer at best. Bama can shut them down for the most part and if they can run for 200+ yards like they did against Auburn and not abandon it, they can win a close game.
Posted by DaBama
Helena, AL
Member since Oct 2011
1662 posts
Posted on 12/5/17 at 1:25 pm to
Because a lot of people are making statements like this.
quote:

To me, Clemson is obviously the better team.


Give Saban a month to prepare a pissed off team and it usually plays out in his favor.
Posted by bamarep
Member since Nov 2013
51920 posts
Posted on 12/5/17 at 1:26 pm to
Because


N
I
C
K

fricking

S
A
B
A
N
Posted by bawbarn
Member since Jul 2012
3865 posts
Posted on 12/5/17 at 1:27 pm to
All those recruits doe.............and BAMA!
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