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re: Massey Ratings Predicts W-L of Each SEC Team
Posted on 8/12/16 at 7:58 pm to Central Pork
Posted on 8/12/16 at 7:58 pm to Central Pork
Found this interesting
Below are the projections for the NCAA IA football games through
the 9-5-16 games. Games against non-IA teams are excluded.
The favorite is listed first with the projected margin of victory
(i.e., the line) in parenthesis. 'TP' represents the total number of
points expected to be scored in the game and 'Odds' represents the odds
of the favorite winning straight-up (not against-the-spread).
Saturday, August 27, 2016
California (-19.5) vs. Hawaii (TP=62 Odds=.763) @ Sydney, Australia
Thursday, September 1, 2016
Louisville (-30.5) vs. Charlotte (TP=54 Odds=.910)
Minnesota (-10.5) vs. Oregon State (TP=53 Odds=.671)
South Carolina (-3.5) @ Vanderbilt (TP=48 Odds=.563)
Indiana (-9.5) @ Florida International (TP=61 Odds=.639)
Wake Forest (-7) vs. Tulane (TP=48 Odds=.634)
Friday, September 2, 2016
Stanford (-18) vs. Kansas State (TP=57 Odds=.766)
Colorado State (-6) vs. Colorado (TP=58 Odds=.593) @ Denver, CO
Ball State (-4) @ Georgia State (TP=58 Odds=.558)
Saturday, September 3, 2016
Alabama (-19) vs. Southern California (TP=55 Odds=.787) @ Arlington, TX
Ohio State (-25.5) vs. Bowling Green State (TP=60 Odds=.834)
Clemson (-9) @ Auburn (TP=57 Odds=.643)
Oklahoma (-6) vs. Houston (TP=61 Odds=.592) @ Houston, TX
Notre Dame (-10) @ Texas (TP=55 Odds=.660)
Georgia (-10) vs. North Carolina (TP=59 Odds=.649)
Wisconsin (-2) vs. Louisiana State (TP=50 Odds=.536) @ Green Bay, WI
Mississippi State (-24) vs. South Alabama (TP=56 Odds=.835)
Michigan (-24.5) vs. Hawaii (TP=51 Odds=.867)
Florida (-25.5) vs. Massachusetts (TP=49 Odds=.888)
Texas A&M (-1.5) vs. UCLA (TP=59 Odds=.521)
Boise State (-14) @ Louisiana-Lafayette (TP=59 Odds=.706)
Iowa (-25.5) vs. Miami (Ohio) (TP=51 Odds=.884)
Tennessee (-13) vs. Appalachian State (TP=56 Odds=.698)
Arkansas (-10.5) vs. Louisiana Tech (TP=60 Odds=.654)
Washington (-13) vs. Rutgers (TP=55 Odds=.704)
Nebraska (-18.5) vs. Fresno State (TP=61 Odds=.753)
Toledo (-3) @ Arkansas State (TP=63 Odds=.544)
Arizona (-1.5) vs. Brigham Young (TP=62 Odds=.519) @ Glendale, AZ
Western Kentucky (-17.5) vs. Rice (TP=65 Odds=.733)
Northwestern (-9) vs. Western Michigan (TP=53 Odds=.652)
West Virginia (-2.5) vs. Missouri (TP=51 Odds=.547)
Penn State (-17) vs. Kent (TP=44 Odds=.814)
Northern Illinois (-15.5) @ Wyoming (TP=57 Odds=.730)
Georgia Tech (-4) @ Boston College (TP=49 Odds=.572)
Temple (-19) vs. Army (TP=51 Odds=.806)
Ohio (-13.5) vs. Texas State (TP=57 Odds=.706)
Kentucky (-3) vs. Southern Mississippi (TP=57 Odds=.547)
San Jose State (-4) vs. Tulsa (TP=62 Odds=.556)
Texas-El Paso (-12) vs. New Mexico State (TP=61 Odds=.670)
North Texas (-1) vs. Southern Methodist (TP=60 Odds=.517)
Monday, September 5, 2016
Florida State (-6.5) vs. Mississippi (TP=55 Odds=.604) @ Orlando, FL
LINK
This post was edited on 8/12/16 at 8:09 pm
Posted on 8/12/16 at 8:56 pm to JCinBAMA
quote:
Wisconsin (-2) vs. Louisiana State
Uh oh.
Posted on 8/12/16 at 8:57 pm to ArCoRazorback
Looks accurate as frick.
Posted on 8/12/16 at 9:00 pm to HolographicCharizard
quote:of course it is, but then the games are played....
quote:
Tennessee: 11-1 (7-1)
Spot on
Posted on 8/12/16 at 10:10 pm to ArCoRazorback
quote:If this actually goes down, it will be a battle to see who hires Tom Herman first. (If he has another year in 2016 at Houston like he did in 2015)
LSU: 9-3 (5-3)
Texas A&M: 5-7 (1-7)
Posted on 8/12/16 at 10:33 pm to ArCoRazorback
Is he predicting the favorite to win every game?
Even if you give Alabama a better than 50 percent chance in every game they probably wouldn't go undefeated.
If you give them a 90% chance in every game that still only gives them a 28.24% chance at going 12-0. Doing that for simplicity's sake since I know their odds will vary from game to game.
Even if you give Alabama a better than 50 percent chance in every game they probably wouldn't go undefeated.
If you give them a 90% chance in every game that still only gives them a 28.24% chance at going 12-0. Doing that for simplicity's sake since I know their odds will vary from game to game.
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