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Numerical Analysis of the SEC for this week... (SECCG)
Posted on 11/27/11 at 12:59 am
Posted on 11/27/11 at 12:59 am
This was done using a least squares fit to find the ideal values for a power rating for each team using a standard 4 point home field advantage.
Last week's analysis...
LSU by 16.48 over Arkansas (LSU won by 24)
Bama by 16.90 over Auburn (Bama won by 28)
MSU by 21.21 over Ole Miss (MSU won by 28)
UT by 5.68 over UK (UK won by 3)
This weeks analysis
LSU by 18.96 over UGA (Odds of LSU win = 91.06%)
LSU by 5.53 over Bama (Odds of LSU win = 63.44%)
Team Ratings...
1. LSU 45.15 +/- 6.02
2. Alabama 39.62 +/- 10.15
3. Arkansas 30.85 +/- 8.78
4. South Carolina 28.06 +/- 7.92
5. Florida 27.97 +/- 11.78
6. Georgia 26.19 +/- 8.06
7. Mississippi State 18.71 +/- 4.20
8. Vanderbilt 18.68 +/- 5.04
9. Auburn 16.32 +/- 9.44
10. Tennessee 11.25 +/- 6.14
11. Kentucky 3.50 +/- 10.27
12. Ole Miss 0.00 +/- 7.15
EDT: Corrections made!
Last week's analysis...
LSU by 16.48 over Arkansas (LSU won by 24)
Bama by 16.90 over Auburn (Bama won by 28)
MSU by 21.21 over Ole Miss (MSU won by 28)
UT by 5.68 over UK (UK won by 3)
This weeks analysis
LSU by 18.96 over UGA (Odds of LSU win = 91.06%)
LSU by 5.53 over Bama (Odds of LSU win = 63.44%)
Team Ratings...
1. LSU 45.15 +/- 6.02
2. Alabama 39.62 +/- 10.15
3. Arkansas 30.85 +/- 8.78
4. South Carolina 28.06 +/- 7.92
5. Florida 27.97 +/- 11.78
6. Georgia 26.19 +/- 8.06
7. Mississippi State 18.71 +/- 4.20
8. Vanderbilt 18.68 +/- 5.04
9. Auburn 16.32 +/- 9.44
10. Tennessee 11.25 +/- 6.14
11. Kentucky 3.50 +/- 10.27
12. Ole Miss 0.00 +/- 7.15
EDT: Corrections made!
This post was edited on 11/27/11 at 1:20 am
Posted on 11/27/11 at 1:02 am to DocBugbear
Alabama won by 28 points.
Posted on 11/27/11 at 1:08 am to CapstoneGrad06
quote:
Alabama won by 28 points.
Well crap... Now I have to recrunch the numbers...
Corrections to come
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