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Set Up For Lone Star Showdown Is Very Much Like 2006

Posted on 11/25/24 at 12:24 pm
Posted by ColoradoElkHerd
USA
Member since May 2014
3168 posts
Posted on 11/25/24 at 12:24 pm
In 2006 Aggies lost the two games before playing tu and went in as 12 point underdogs.

Aggies proceeded to physically dominate sips and win. This game is very unpredictable and if I were a gambler, I wouldn't touch it with a 10 ft pole.

This post was edited on 11/25/24 at 12:25 pm
Posted by HorninHouston
Member since Sep 2024
532 posts
Posted on 11/25/24 at 12:26 pm to
quote:

if I were a gambler, I wouldn't touch it with a 10 ft pole.


agreed. I have no idea what to expect. No outcome would surprise me
Posted by Old Sarge
Dean of Admissions, LSU
Member since Jan 2012
57637 posts
Posted on 11/25/24 at 12:30 pm to
Was that the night Francone beat them and then got fired right after the game? I was listening to the post game in my truck stuck in traffic when they made the announcement
Posted by Victor R Franko
Member since Dec 2021
368 posts
Posted on 11/25/24 at 12:35 pm to
A strong rivalry game where the underdog is the home team from my experience is usually a good bet.
I take the points.
Good time to get some data on this belief this rivalry weekend.

Edit, maybe not a good rivalry week for data. Only other game I could find with home underdog was Florida at Florida St.
This post was edited on 11/25/24 at 12:42 pm
Posted by Daowna
Member since Dec 2010
1256 posts
Posted on 11/25/24 at 12:41 pm to
I think that was 2007 when Fran got canned

Edit: Confirmed it was the 2007 tu game. And technically he resigned but yeah, semantics.
This post was edited on 11/25/24 at 12:43 pm
Posted by Old Sarge
Dean of Admissions, LSU
Member since Jan 2012
57637 posts
Posted on 11/25/24 at 12:43 pm to
It was a home game at Kyle

I just can’t remember the year
Posted by BigBro
Member since Jul 2021
13439 posts
Posted on 11/25/24 at 12:44 pm to
quote:

Aggies proceeded to physically dominate sips and win.

Aggies won 12-7 and ended a 6 game losing streak against a freshman QB who got hurt in the previous game..

But that year was the last time that A&M didn't lose a game in October.

Both teams entered November at 8-1.

Both teams finished November 9-3.

quote:

This game is very unpredictable

Historically, this is not accurate. The favorite usually wins this game about 86% of the time. TBD if that trend continues with the change in dynamics.. lay off period..
Posted by Capn_Bevo
Austin
Member since Jan 2019
772 posts
Posted on 11/25/24 at 12:45 pm to
You'd have to be crazy to bet on this game
Posted by Old Sarge
Dean of Admissions, LSU
Member since Jan 2012
57637 posts
Posted on 11/25/24 at 1:06 pm to
quote:

Historically


How did you research this and how far back did you go?



But in general, it makes sense that the favored team would come out on top at a much higher percentage rate

Posted by SOBMarcus
Boerne TX
Member since Apr 2020
2015 posts
Posted on 11/25/24 at 1:11 pm to
This I agree with ??
Suckers bet.
Posted by BigBro
Member since Jul 2021
13439 posts
Posted on 11/25/24 at 1:47 pm to
quote:

How did you research this and how far back did you go?

But in general, it makes sense that the favored team would come out on top at a much higher percentage rate


I went back a ways.. it was a year or two ago, I don't remember the exact numbers.. I think I made a post about it, but I couldn't find it searching for it..

Bottom line: Both teams were ranked only a handful of times and the ranked team usually won the game.. I didn't have betting lines.. so perhaps "favorite" is the wrong word to use.. I think I assumed the higher ranked team was the favorite..

The Oklahoma and Texas game is historically more of a crapshoot.. the lower ranked team has pulled off quite a few upsets

This post was edited on 11/25/24 at 1:48 pm
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