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The most chaotic finish in SEC and all of college football history is a possibility

Posted on 11/12/24 at 1:09 am
Posted by Basura Blanco
Member since Dec 2011
9809 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 1:09 am
November 16
Arkansas beats Texas
LSU beats Florida
Tenn beats UGA
S Carolina beats Missouri

November 23 (would go down as the wildest weekend in college football history)
Auburn beats Texas A&M
Florida beats Ole Miss
Vandy beats LSU
Miss St beats Missouri
Oklahoma beats Alabama
Kentucky beats Texas

November 30
Ole Miss beats Miss St
Alabama beats Auburn
LSU beats Oklahoma
Arkansas beats Missouri
Texas beats Texas A&M
Vandy beats Tennessee


The SEC Championship game would be unranked 8-4 LSU vs 10-2 Tennessee (2007 anyone?)

Only one SEC team would have less than 3 losses. Vandy wouldve beaten the SEC championship game teams on consecutive weekends to finish the season. And finish 4th in the conference. While a ton of outrageous things would need to happen, the last week of the season would only require two minor upsets. Depending on kickoff times, Tenn could go into the Vandy game being assured of an SEC championship game spot regardless of the outcome.

Should LSU beat Tenn, they would go to the playoffs (still unranked?) with 4 losses and NINE conference teams would finish with 3 losses.

In no world does this actually happen (does it?), but it is mind-blowing that we are going into the 3rd week of November and this shite exists.

SEC's results generator.
Posted by 1BIGTigerFan
100,000 posts
Member since Jan 2007
51922 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 1:12 am to
You're giving me a headache.
Posted by Basura Blanco
Member since Dec 2011
9809 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 1:15 am to
quote:


You're giving me a headache.


There is actually a scenario where Arkansas makes the championship game.

Maybe its the peyote talking, but I have a feeling something extremely weird is going to happen either in the SEC, or in the playoffs themselves.
Posted by Pastor Mike
Florida
Member since Dec 2020
6020 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 3:09 am to
Tennessee will NOT beat Georgia - book it
Posted by StringedInstruments
Member since Oct 2013
19556 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 5:35 am to
quote:

The SEC Championship game would be unranked 8-4 LSU vs 10-2 Tennessee (2007 anyone?)


Alabama would be 9-3 in your scenario with the tie breaker over LSU. You would need Auburn over Alabama as well or LSU beating Vandy.
This post was edited on 11/12/24 at 5:40 am
Posted by TexasTwoTimingTed
Member since Nov 2024
192 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 5:37 am to
They will if UGA plays like they did against Ole Miss.
Posted by ht1950
Member since Dec 2023
256 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 6:07 am to
It's true that there has never been the kind of parity in the SEC that we see this year. But most of what's in this post is not going to happen. What is a bit crazy is that it's quite likely that at least two SEC teams will get playoff bids without going to the title game. There is also a scenario in which the loser of the title game could get left out if it ends up with three losses and BIG teams have better records/SOS/other metrics.

There is nowhere near the kind of depth and parity in the BIG that there is in the SEC. At least one team is going to be complaining the way Georgia and FSU complained last year with just a four-team playoff.

The way I see it, the SEC deserves at least four--maybe five spots. Prediction: 8 of the 12 spots will be taken up by the SEC and BIG. And the Group of Five should stage their own Natty Playoff where some team ends up actually winning something, instead of taking a spot away from the Power 4 leagues.



Posted by IT_Dawg
Georgia
Member since Oct 2012
23335 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 6:48 am to
I like the scenario where the winner of UGA/Tenn plays Vandy, who finishes 2nd in a 9-way tie, in the SECCG

This post was edited on 11/12/24 at 6:55 am
Posted by llfshoals
Member since Nov 2010
18504 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 7:31 am to
Doesn’t even need that.

According to this, if the favorites win out to the last week the only thing needed to get LSU into the title game is Arkansas beat Missouri.

Wont matter about who wins Texas/A&M

Want some real chaos? Have LSU somehow win the SECCG. Then you have LSU as the 4 seed most likely. The rest will be a mess with possibly

10-3 runner up A&M
10-2 Bama
10-2 Georgia
10-2 Texas
10-2 the stinking Vols
10-2 Ole Miss

This board would go insane over which 3 get left out

Bama would be in
Ole Miss would be in

Both would be solidly inside the top 10 in rankings.

Georgia probably for the 4th as they also would be solidly in the top 10.

Texas, A&M and the stinking Vols screaming for the 5th slot. If Indiana beats overrated state that’s probably out the window.
Posted by AICREB
Member since Sep 2024
47 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 7:36 am to
It wasn't as much how Georgia played but how Ole Miss played.
Posted by DarthRebel
Tier Five is Alive
Member since Feb 2013
22460 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 7:59 am to
LSU is out, just stop with the crazy.
Posted by llfshoals
Member since Nov 2010
18504 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 8:05 am to
quote:

LSU is out, just stop with the crazy.
They should be, but apparently that calculator is very accurate according to the SEC offices. Josh Pate referenced it the other night.

So they’re not only alive, I wouldn’t be shocked if the favorites win out with the exception of Arkansas/Missouri.
Posted by Darth_Vader
A galaxy far, far away
Member since Dec 2011
67395 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 8:07 am to
I’ve said from the beginning that doing away with divisions was a huge mistake and is going to lead to controversy year after year. There’s no way for a 16 team conference to not have multiple teams who have a legitimate argument to be in the championship at the end of the season. They’re going to have to bring back divisions.

And it won’t be hard to do. Simply bring back the old East/West format with Texas and Oklahoma added to the West. Shift Auburn to the East. The conference should be:

East
Auburn
Florida
Georgia
Kentucky
Missouri
South Carolina
Tennessee
Vandy

West
Alabama
Arkansas
LSU
Mississippi
Mississippi State
Oklahoma
Texas
Texas A&M


Go to a 9 (or even 10) conference game format with either one or two permanent cross-division rivals.

Problem solved.
Posted by llfshoals
Member since Nov 2010
18504 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 8:14 am to
Missouri would need to be in the west and Bama move to the east.

Both of Bama’s traditional rivalries are in the east, simplifies scheduling a bit.
Posted by Darth_Vader
A galaxy far, far away
Member since Dec 2011
67395 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 9:01 am to
quote:

Missouri would need to be in the west and Bama move to the east.


Good point. I should have thought of that. It makes no sense to keep Missouri in the East from a geographic standpoint.
Posted by jchamil
Member since Nov 2009
17453 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 9:46 am to
quote:

November 23 (would go down as the wildest weekend in college football history)
Auburn beats Texas A&M
Florida beats Ole Miss
Vandy beats LSU
Miss St beats Missouri
Oklahoma beats Alabama
Kentucky beats Texas


1 maybe 2 of these might happen, but there is no way all of those teams are winning that weekend.
Posted by Basura Blanco
Member since Dec 2011
9809 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 10:06 am to
quote:

Alabama would be 9-3 in your scenario with the tie breaker over LSU. You would need Auburn over Alabama as well or LSU beating Vandy.


Not according to the results generator website. In that scenario, Tenn is 6-2 in the conference and the rest of the whole world is 5-3. Somehow, the matrix says LSU finishes 2nd. Assuming the matrix is correct, which apparently it is.

Its basically a cute exercise of improbabilities. Regardless, after our last two games, I am irrationally pissed at college football in general and my only desire is pure carnage, An entire weekend where every single favorite gets beat, including us at home vs Vandy? Bring it on.
Posted by MtVernon
Member since Jul 2024
4190 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 10:08 am to
quote:

Missouri would need to be in the west and Bama move to the east.


Just like it is on a map.
Posted by theCAW
Polk County
Member since Dec 2023
3924 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 10:08 am to
quote:

Florida beats Ole Miss
stopped reading here
Posted by Basura Blanco
Member since Dec 2011
9809 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 10:18 am to
quote:

stopped reading here


You will come around after Lagway is vaulted into the Heisman discussion this weekend when he runs for 250 against LSU
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