re: Stewart Mandel predicts CFP scenarios

quote:

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Otherwise, FSU would be a lock with a win and they are not.

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Yes they are.

The playoff selection over the years has shown us their selection criteria.

1 - Undefeated P5 teams
2 - 1-loss P5 conference champs.
3 - 1-loss P5 non-champs and 0-loss G5's.

Those are the tiers. Other things only come into play if there is a decision between teams within a tier for the last spot.

Note: This is just for the playoff selection for the 4 teams. They rank the teams afterwards to get the matchups they want (avoiding rematches in the first round mostly).

FSU is absolutely in with a win. There are potentially at most 4 undefeated P5 teams.

And if we have a tie for the 4th spot in tier 2 (Texas and Bama with 1 loss), then Texas gets it with the head to head.

They won't even talk about it that much. They aren't going to invite criticism by picking a team who lost head to head.

Everyone thinks it's complicated, but it really isn't.