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Teams with legit shot to win CFP every year

Posted on 1/12/23 at 9:54 am
Posted by armtackledawg
Member since Aug 2017
13249 posts
Posted on 1/12/23 at 9:54 am
Team talent composite discussion raised a good question: who are the teams with a legit shot to win CFP (not just get there). Teams have to have the right combination of resources, coaches and recruits.

UGA
Bama
LSU
Ohio State
Michigan
Clemson
Texas?
Oklahoma?
USC?

Any others? That is a pretty thin list.
Posted by Mulkey Man
Member since Apr 2021
19403 posts
Posted on 1/12/23 at 9:56 am to
I think Florida and Florida State have won recently enough to stay on your list, I guess. There's a lot of talent in Florida.
This post was edited on 1/12/23 at 9:57 am
Posted by GamecockUltimate
Columbia,SC
Member since Feb 2019
8044 posts
Posted on 1/12/23 at 9:57 am to
why is southern cal and texas on this list? Neither has made a playoff, and only socal this year got close.

LSU had 2019 but other than that hasnt been close.

UGA, Bama, Ohio State, Clemson (yuck), Oklahoma, Michigan, have been the mainstays. outside of that some teams are one off
Posted by Funky Tide 8
Bayou Chico
Member since Feb 2009
54145 posts
Posted on 1/12/23 at 9:57 am to
Until proven otherwise, Texas does not belong on the list.

Posted by Mulkey Man
Member since Apr 2021
19403 posts
Posted on 1/12/23 at 9:58 am to
quote:

LSU had 2019 but other than that hasnt been close.


Finished 6th in the country in 2018, that's pretty close.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
104023 posts
Posted on 1/12/23 at 9:58 am to
USC is already Oklahoma West under Riley. They've signed like 5 or 6 5-star kids and every single one of them is a WR/QB/RB.

Their defensive recruiting and overall depth of recruiting has been dogshit, and they will continue to be horrid at it moving forward. Until he figures that out they won't be anything more than they were this season.
Posted by armtackledawg
Member since Aug 2017
13249 posts
Posted on 1/12/23 at 10:02 am to
quote:

I think Florida and Florida State have won recently enough to stay on your list, I guess


I agree in principle, but Florida has really screwed up with the coaches lately
Posted by idlewatcher
Planet Arium
Member since Jan 2012
83104 posts
Posted on 1/12/23 at 10:02 am to
Uh, you're forgetting Aggie. Member that one time when they were 4th in the final season standings????!
Posted by TouchdownTony
Central Alabama
Member since Apr 2016
10234 posts
Posted on 1/12/23 at 10:03 am to
That list has always been thin. I think you actually have to thin it out more for teams with a legitimate shot every single year no matter who they lose.
If it’s who can win it in a given year based on resources, players, etc, I’d add auburn, Florida, Tennessee, Washington, Florida st, mich st, notre dame, penn state.
If it’s who can win it EVERY year I’d say Bama, UGA, usc, Oklahoma,
Posted by RolltidePA
North Carolina
Member since Dec 2010
4010 posts
Posted on 1/12/23 at 10:03 am to
quote:

I think Florida and Florida State have won recently enough to stay on your list, I guess. There's a lot of talent in Florida.



Florida, Florida State and Miami are sleeping giants right now. The right coach gets momentum there and can lock down local recruiting, they can be serious players.

Not 100% sure if Miami has the administrative support and facilities to catch up with this era of football, but FSU and Florida are committed.
Posted by Lakeboy7
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2011
23965 posts
Posted on 1/12/23 at 10:05 am to
quote:

Texas?
Oklahoma?
USC?


Nope

quote:

Michigan


Nope
Posted by VoxDawg
Glory, Glory
Member since Sep 2012
66613 posts
Posted on 1/12/23 at 10:06 am to
quote:

There's a lot of talent in Florida.

While true, they aren't going to Gainesville.
Posted by SneezyBeltranIsHere
Member since Jul 2021
3258 posts
Posted on 1/12/23 at 10:09 am to
quote:

Until proven otherwise, Texas does not belong on the list.


Texas has the talent to be on the list......but not the coach. When Sark gets fired after next season, we have a chance to hire a coach that will make us a contender for the playoffs. Until then, as long as we have Sark, we will struggle with the conundrum that is beating Texas Tech and Okla St in the same season.
Posted by jnethe1
Pearland
Member since Dec 2012
16143 posts
Posted on 1/12/23 at 10:11 am to
quote:

LSU had 2019 but other than that hasnt been close.


Three championships with three different coaches. Lol

quote:

UGA, Bama, Ohio State, Clemson

Have won a championship in the last two decades. So yes.

quote:

Oklahoma, Michigan, have been the mainstays.


Lmao… what an idiot.
Posted by Mulkey Man
Member since Apr 2021
19403 posts
Posted on 1/12/23 at 10:14 am to
quote:

I agree in principle, but Florida has really screwed up with the coaches lately


I agree, and it seems so, but the potential is still there for Florida to be an annual contender with the right coach. It has done it before.
Posted by Between TheHedges
Message Board Genius
Member since Aug 2022
3721 posts
Posted on 1/12/23 at 10:15 am to
quote:

Bama


Between NIL leveraging the recruit buying playing field and Saban retiring soon, in about 5-10 years they will no longer be on this exclusive list
Posted by RollTide1987
Augusta, GA
Member since Nov 2009
67369 posts
Posted on 1/12/23 at 10:16 am to
There's a clear and discernable pattern concerning programs that have won national championships since the turn of the century. Each national champion (with the exception of 2000 Oklahoma) has at least one Top 10 recruiting class on its roster. That means the following teams are the only ones to have a shot in 2023:

Alabama
Georgia
Texas
Miami
LSU
Oklahoma
Ohio State
Notre Dame
USC
Tennessee
Texas A&M
Penn State
Michigan
Clemson
Oregon
Auburn
Posted by imjustafatkid
Alabama
Member since Dec 2011
55053 posts
Posted on 1/12/23 at 10:16 am to
quote:

Texas?
Oklahoma?


Moving to the SEC will take these two programs almost completely out of the discussion.
Posted by Hugh McElroy
Member since Sep 2013
18397 posts
Posted on 1/12/23 at 10:21 am to
quote:

Teams have to have the right combination of resources, coaches and recruits.


If you're talking about history, A&M of course has no business on that list. But things change. Yale used to be on that list.


If you're talking about current resources, coaches, and recruits, then of course A&M belongs on the list.
Posted by VoxDawg
Glory, Glory
Member since Sep 2012
66613 posts
Posted on 1/12/23 at 10:22 am to
quote:

d Saban retiring soon, in about 5-10 years they will no longer be on this exclusive list

Agreed. Bama must get the post-Saban hire exactly right, or will spend 10 years in the wilderness. Dabo is the only option, yes?
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