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Why is Alabama 16 point favorites?

Posted on 9/25/22 at 9:26 pm
Posted by PappaSwolio
tGeneral’s Army
Member since Sep 2022
901 posts
Posted on 9/25/22 at 9:26 pm
They had 5 games last year, 4 of which they won that were decided by 7 or less. One of those was Arkansas.

After the Texas game, it appears they will likely do the same this season. Lots of close contested games that they will likely win.

I don’t see Arkansas bowing out and losing by 16
Posted by Glorious
Mobile
Member since Aug 2014
25537 posts
Posted on 9/25/22 at 9:28 pm to
quote:

They had 5 games last year, 4 of which they won that were decided by 7 or less. One of those was Arkansas.


We also covered in blowouts against Cincy, Mississippi State, Georgia, Ole Miss, and Miami
Posted by lastfan
Houston
Member since Nov 2015
8678 posts
Posted on 9/25/22 at 9:29 pm to
Posted by The Winner
Member since Nov 2016
8135 posts
Posted on 9/25/22 at 9:29 pm to
I don't either. Alabama hasn't looked good all season. I'll give Arkansas a great chance to win this.

I'll be watching this one closely for next week since we have a bye this week
Posted by PappaSwolio
tGeneral’s Army
Member since Sep 2022
901 posts
Posted on 9/25/22 at 9:32 pm to
Mississippi State was the only true road game you covered.

Florida 2pt win
Aggie loss
Auburn 2pt win (4 OTs)

Just wondering what Vegas knows that we don’t.
Posted by SidewalkTiger
Midwest, USA
Member since Dec 2019
60922 posts
Posted on 9/25/22 at 9:33 pm to
It depends on if 1st quarter Arkansas from this weekend shows up or that other version.
Posted by MykTide
Member since Jul 2012
26246 posts
Posted on 9/25/22 at 9:36 pm to
Bet your mud hovel on pigs and the points then.
Posted by sewaneerebel
Oxford, Ms
Member since Sep 2014
697 posts
Posted on 9/25/22 at 9:38 pm to
Computer metrics (Sagarin) show the following:

Alabama--98.63
Arkansas--78.88

Difference: 19.75

Deduct 3 for home advantage:

16.75

Not my figures. Just the messenger.
Posted by TidenUP
Coden, AL
Member since Apr 2011
14626 posts
Posted on 9/25/22 at 9:40 pm to
quote:

I'll be watching this one closely for next week since we have a bye this week


Let me guess...you are one of those weirdos that "scout" your team's future opponents so you feel "invested" in your team.
Posted by TexasForever
Member since Jul 2021
2949 posts
Posted on 9/25/22 at 9:42 pm to
Alabama by 17
Posted by JudgeHolden
Gila River
Member since Jan 2008
18566 posts
Posted on 9/25/22 at 9:43 pm to
quote:

Let me guess...you are one of those weirdos that "scout" your team's future opponents so you feel "invested" in your team.


Says the Bama fan with 13,500 posts on this board.

Things that make you go, hmmmmm.
Posted by bengalmd
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2021
4886 posts
Posted on 9/25/22 at 9:47 pm to
If you lose to A&M and squeak by Missouri State, you can be no less than 10 point underdogs to the Sun Belt Conference, let alone an SEC team not named Vandy
Posted by TidenUP
Coden, AL
Member since Apr 2011
14626 posts
Posted on 9/25/22 at 9:49 pm to
quote:

Says the Bama fan with 13,500 posts on this board.



Haven't checked your own post count, huh?
Posted by bogeypro
North Alabama
Member since Sep 2012
4052 posts
Posted on 9/25/22 at 9:50 pm to
Vegas saw the piggies completely crushed. All that crying and carrying on... Aggie broke them. Those fumbles at critical times will weigh on those hogs all season.
This post was edited on 9/25/22 at 9:51 pm
Posted by secuniversity
Member since May 2015
5757 posts
Posted on 9/25/22 at 9:51 pm to
Bryce was a new starter.
Young defense.
New starters on offense.

Last year is not this year.
Posted by JudgeHolden
Gila River
Member since Jan 2008
18566 posts
Posted on 9/25/22 at 10:07 pm to
quote:

Haven't checked your own post count, huh?


I’m not throwing stones. My glass house is just fine.
Posted by ThePoo
Work
Member since Jan 2007
60840 posts
Posted on 9/25/22 at 10:08 pm to
Not sure, seems weird to keep it under 20
Posted by thatthang
Member since Jan 2012
7423 posts
Posted on 9/25/22 at 10:32 pm to
Is this a gambling thread or like, you know, a thread about your emotions?
Posted by dchog
Pea Ridge
Member since Nov 2012
25526 posts
Posted on 9/25/22 at 10:43 pm to
I see Bama getting up by 21 and sit on the lead the whole game.

If you can't beat an average Aggie team then you aren't pulling off any upsets.
Posted by dchog
Pea Ridge
Member since Nov 2012
25526 posts
Posted on 9/25/22 at 10:45 pm to
When you have average talent, a top FCS team like Missouri State will give you trouble.
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